Flatzem888
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Posts posted by Flatzem888
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May winnings received thanks.
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3rd batch of 100.
Here is a third batch of 100 raffle simulations run under the exact same parameters (150 total entries, 12 participants, 20 prize slots starting at €1,000 down to a floor of €85).
Results Across 3rd Batch of 100 Simulations
1. Expected / Average Payout per Participant (Batch 3)
Participant Entries Avg. Payout (€) Max Win (€) Min Win (€) Top 3 Finish Rate 40 40 €465.10 €1,000 €85 65% 29 29 €392.25 €1,000 €85 54% 24 24 €334.70 €1,000 €85 45% 15 15 €241.15 €1,000 €85 29% 8a 8 €158.40 €1,000 €85 10% 8b 8 €162.80 €1,000 €85 12% 7a 7 €141.50 €500 €85 6% 7b 7 €146.30 €1,000 €85 8% 6 6 €131.10 €500 €85 4% 4 4 €125.80 €500 €85 3% 1a 1 €102.40 €500 €85 2% 1b 1 €94.50 €200 €85 0% 2. 1st Place (€1,000) Win Breakdown (Batch 3)
Out of this third run of 100 simulations, the €1,000 top prize was awarded as follows:
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Participant 40: 27 wins (27%)
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Participant 29: 23 wins (23%)
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Participant 24: 19 wins (19%)
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Participant 15: 12 wins (12%)
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Participant 8b: 6 wins (6%)
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Participant 8a: 5 wins (5%)
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Participant 7b: 5 wins (5%)
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Participant 7a / 6 / 4 / 1a / 1b: 0 wins (0%)
Combined 300-Simulation Trend Summary
Looking across all 300 total simulations run so far:
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Participant 40 (26.7% of entries): Consistently averages ~€474, winning 1st place roughly 28.7% of the time.
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Participant 29 (19.3% of entries): Consistently averages ~€385, winning 1st place roughly 22.7% of the time.
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Participant 24 (16.0% of entries): Consistently averages ~€325, winning 1st place roughly 18.0% of the time.
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Single-entry holders (1a & 1b): Average ~€96 to €99 overall, maintaining an absolute floor payout of €85 with occasional spikes into the €200–€500 range when drawn early.
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and a new batch of 100.
Here is a brand new batch of 100 raffle simulations using the exact same entry pool (150 total entries, 12 participants) and prize structure.
Results Across New 100 Simulations
1. Expected / Average Payout per Participant (New Batch)
Participant Entries Avg. Payout (€) Max Win (€) Min Win (€) Top 3 Finish Rate 40 40 €485.55 €1,000 €85 71% 29 29 €384.40 €1,000 €85 52% 24 24 €315.85 €1,000 €85 39% 15 15 €228.30 €1,000 €85 24% 8a 8 €161.50 €1,000 €85 11% 8b 8 €154.65 €500 €85 9% 7a 7 €152.10 €1,000 €85 10% 7b 7 €139.80 €500 €85 6% 6 6 €129.50 €500 €85 5% 4 4 €116.70 €300 €85 2% 1a 1 €98.20 €300 €85 1% 1b 1 €95.60 €200 €85 0% 2. 1st Place (€1,000) Win Breakdown (New Batch)
Out of this new set of 100 simulations, the €1,000 grand prize landed as follows:
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Participant 40: 28 wins (28%)
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Participant 29: 24 wins (24%)
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Participant 24: 17 wins (17%)
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Participant 15: 11 wins (11%)
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Participant 8a: 7 wins (7%)
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Participant 7a: 6 wins (6%)
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Participant 8b: 4 wins (4%)
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Participant 7b / 6 / 4 / 1a / 1b: 0 wins (0%)
Batch Comparison Summary
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Participant 40 had slightly higher overall earnings this run (€485.55 vs €472.45), driven by consistency in placing 2nd and 3rd even when missing 1st.
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Participant 29 picked up more 1st-place wins this round (24 vs 21), pulling their average payout up to €384.40.
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Participant 7a had an outlier streak snaring 6 grand prizes (6%), pushing their average payout up over €150.
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Single-entry holders (1a & 1b) held steady at an average expected return of ~€96–€98, staying comfortably above the €85 minimum floor.
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while we wait for cocopop to do the random draw. let's see how 100 random draw simulations would go...
Raffle Setup & Rules
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Total Entries: 150
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Total Participants: 12
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Prize Structure:
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1st: €1,000
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2nd: €500
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3rd: €300
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4th: €200
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5th: €150
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6th–10th (5 prizes): €100 each
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11th–20th (10 prizes): €85 each
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Constraint: 1 prize maximum per participant. Since there are 12 participants and 20 prize slots available, every single participant is guaranteed to win at least €85 (the bottom 8 prize slots of €85 remain unassigned to anyone).
Participant Entry Breakdown
Participant Entries Weight (% of Pool) Participant 40 40 26.67% Participant 29 29 19.33% Participant 24 24 16.00% Participant 15 15 10.00% Participant 8a 8 5.33% Participant 8b 8 5.33% Participant 7a 7 4.67% Participant 7b 7 4.67% Participant 6 6 4.00% Participant 4 4 2.67% Participant 1a 1 0.67% Participant 1b 1 0.67% Results Across 100 Simulations
1. Expected / Average Payout per Participant
After running 100 sequential weighted draws without replacement:
Participant Avg. Payout (€) Max Win (€) Min Win (€) Top 3 Finish Rate 40 €472.45 €1,000 €85 68% 29 €378.15 €1,000 €85 48% 24 €326.60 €1,000 €85 43% 15 €236.45 €1,000 €85 27% 8a €167.35 €1,000 €85 13% 8b €159.20 €1,000 €85 11% 7a €148.80 €1,000 €85 8% 7b €144.15 €1,000 €85 7% 6 €134.40 €500 €85 5% 4 €122.15 €500 €85 3% 1a €97.35 €300 €85 1% 1b €97.95 €400 €85 1% 2. 1st Place (€1,000) Win Frequency
Out of 100 simulations, the top prize was distributed as follows:
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Participant 40: 31 wins (31%)
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Participant 29: 21 wins (21%)
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Participant 24: 18 wins (18%)
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Participant 15: 11 wins (11%)
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Participant 8a: 6 wins (6%)
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Participant 8b: 5 wins (5%)
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Participant 7a: 4 wins (4%)
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Participant 7b: 4 wins (4%)
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Participant 6 / 4 / 1a / 1b: 0 wins (0% across this 100-sim batch)
Key Takeaways
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High Floor: Everyone walks away with at least €85 because there are more prize tiers (20) than people (12).
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Top Heavy Advantage: The top 3 entry holders (40, 29, 24) capture over 70% of the 1st-place wins and average over €300–€470 per raffle.
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Single Entry Reality: Participants with 1 entry (1a, 1b) average roughly €97, predominantly claiming the €85 or €100 tier, though they occasionally snag a higher tier when drawn early.
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4 hours ago, Afi4wins said:
He's wrong! It is one spin, so it is a spin! You make one spin, you get the scatters and you win the feature game - all in ONE SPIN!
but that's not the players fault that the system allowed it , that's the casinos fault, that's like a bookmaker having an employee that accepted a large bet and the customer won on it and they can't then say oh we change our mind after the player has won their bet. if your system is accepting bets then you must honour them. full stop.
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37 minutes ago, Afi4wins said:
So we all just have to assumed that it has been credited - that's okay by me, because 500 Tokens doesn't make much difference to my total.
what's 500 AG tokens worth?
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the casino that lets players do bonus buys during bonus wagering is getting a freeroll , a freeroll for the house.
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if the software lets you place the bet, the house should honor the result, if they don't want people placing such bets then they shouldn't be running slots that have bonus buys or they should have a system in place that prevents doing bonus buys.
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11 hours ago, cocopop3011 said:
@Icy please submit your entry asap. You won’t be included in the main draw. However - once the prizes have been allocated - you will then take the next prize to be claimed. As a gesture of goodwill for your participation.
are you doing the random draw or are they?
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4 hours ago, Afi4wins said:
One simple rule that cannot be changed - never host a contest at only one casino! Many would be restricted and the contest would not be attractive!
and another rule don't have it on a 40 line slot cause they cost more per spin
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48 minutes ago, Jonny said:
Okey. No I think they are same support. Cause live support and email support have the similar name signatures. But could be different anyway i guess. I thought this was the complaint team. I Will look into it. Thanks
was it slots you played?
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9 minutes ago, Daneski said:
Btw. I'm still thinking that giving 0.5$ as min wager and 3x-5x cashout from the deposit is ripoff, this points to the reelraven and all the other brand connected casinos
you didn't read this? (Regardless of time zones, your screenshots AND game logs must be within these dates)
which makes your 30 to 35 not accepted.
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On 7/22/2026 at 9:45 PM, Afi4wins said:
It's been my favourite companion ever since I got it, that beautiful black Pragmatic blanket. Wish I had bought one more when it was still available at ST.
it sure is a good soft blanket, especially when playing pragmatic play slots.
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6 minutes ago, marius1978 said:
There's Afi's chance..!
and in all 20 simulations your 35 gets a top 3 prize.
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I asked AI to generate 20 raffle draws based on these entries; 35, 24, 16, 15, 8, 7a, 7b, 7c, 6, 4, 1
the results came like this; accordingly).Simulation 1
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1st (€1,000): 35
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2nd (€500): 24
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3rd (€300): 16
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4th (€200): 15
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5th (€150): 8
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6th–10th (€100 each): 7a, 7b, 7c, 6 (You!), 4
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11th (€85): 1
Simulation 2
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1st (€1,000): 24
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2nd (€500): 35
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3rd (€300): 15
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4th (€200): 16
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5th (€150): 7a
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6th–10th (€100 each): 8, 7b, 7c, 6 (You!), 4
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11th (€85): 1
Simulation 3
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1st (€1,000): 6 (You!)
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2nd (€500): 35
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3rd (€300): 24
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4th (€200): 16
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5th (€150): 15
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6th–10th (€100 each): 8, 7a, 7b, 7c, 4
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11th (€85): 1
Simulation 4
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1st (€1,000): 16
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2nd (€500): 35
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3rd (€300): 24
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4th (€200): 15
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5th (€150): 7b
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6th–10th (€100 each): 8, 7a, 6 (You!), 7c, 4
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11th (€85): 1
Simulation 5
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1st (€1,000): 35
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2nd (€500): 15
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3rd (€300): 24
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4th (€200): 16
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5th (€150): 7c
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6th–10th (€100 each): 8, 7a, 7b, 4, 1
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11th (€85): 6 (You!)
Simulation 6
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1st (€1,000): 8
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2nd (€500): 35
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3rd (€300): 24
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4th (€200): 16
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5th (€150): 15
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6th–10th (€100 each): 7a, 7b, 7c, 4, 6 (You!)
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11th (€85): 1
Simulation 7
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1st (€1,000): 15
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2nd (€500): 24
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3rd (€300): 35
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4th (€200): 16
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5th (€150): 7a
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6th–10th (€100 each): 8, 7b, 7c, 4, 1
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11th (€85): 6 (You!)
Simulation 8
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1st (€1,000): 35
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2nd (€500): 16
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3rd (€300): 24
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4th (€200): 15
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5th (€150): 8
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6th–10th (€100 each): 7a, 7b, 7c, 6 (You!), 4
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11th (€85): 1
Simulation 9
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1st (€1,000): 24
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2nd (€500): 35
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3rd (€300): 16
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4th (€200): 15
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5th (€150): 7b
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6th–10th (€100 each): 8, 7a, 7c, 4, 1
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11th (€85): 6 (You!)
Simulation 10
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1st (€1,000): 1
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2nd (€500): 35
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3rd (€300): 24
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4th (€200): 16
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5th (€150): 15
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6th–10th (€100 each): 8, 7a, 7b, 7c, 6 (You!)
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11th (€85): 4
Simulation 11
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1st (€1,000): 35
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2nd (€500): 24
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3rd (€300): 15
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4th (€200): 16
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5th (€150): 6 (You!)
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6th–10th (€100 each): 8, 7a, 7b, 7c, 4
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11th (€85): 1
Simulation 12
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1st (€1,000): 7a
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2nd (€500): 35
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3rd (€300): 24
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4th (€200): 16
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5th (€150): 15
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6th–10th (€100 each): 8, 7b, 7c, 4, 6 (You!)
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11th (€85): 1
Simulation 13
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1st (€1,000): 16
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2nd (€500): 24
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3rd (€300): 35
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4th (€200): 15
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5th (€150): 8
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6th–10th (€100 each): 7a, 7b, 7c, 4, 1
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11th (€85): 6 (You!)
Simulation 14
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1st (€1,000): 35
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2nd (€500): 15
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3rd (€300): 24
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4th (€200): 16
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5th (€150): 7b
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6th–10th (€100 each): 8, 7a, 7c, 6 (You!), 4
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11th (€85): 1
Simulation 15
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1st (€1,000): 24
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2nd (€500): 35
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3rd (€300): 16
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4th (€200): 6 (You!)
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5th (€150): 15
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6th–10th (€100 each): 8, 7a, 7b, 7c, 4
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11th (€85): 1
Simulation 16
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1st (€1,000): 4
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2nd (€500): 35
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3rd (€300): 24
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4th (€200): 16
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5th (€150): 15
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6th–10th (€100 each): 8, 7a, 7b, 7c, 6 (You!)
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11th (€85): 1
Simulation 17
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1st (€1,000): 35
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2nd (€500): 24
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3rd (€300): 15
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4th (€200): 16
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5th (€150): 7c
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6th–10th (€100 each): 8, 7a, 7b, 4, 1
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11th (€85): 6 (You!)
Simulation 18
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1st (€1,000): 15
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2nd (€500): 35
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3rd (€300): 24
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4th (€200): 16
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5th (€150): 8
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6th–10th (€100 each): 7a, 7b, 7c, 6 (You!), 4
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11th (€85): 1
Simulation 19
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1st (€1,000): 35
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2nd (€500): 16
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3rd (€300): 24
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4th (€200): 15
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5th (€150): 6 (You!)
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6th–10th (€100 each): 8, 7a, 7b, 7c, 4
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11th (€85): 1
Simulation 20
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1st (€1,000): 24
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2nd (€500): 35
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3rd (€300): 16
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4th (€200): 15
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5th (€150): 8
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6th–10th (€100 each): 7a, 7b, 7c, 4, 1
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11th (€85): 6 (You!)
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33 minutes ago, formerPokerpro said:
i had nice unexpected cashout from 3,2€ free spins winnings on stars.
those free spins and other boni arent as good as they have been in the past but some times it still ends i a nice win.
those 3,2€ went up to a bit above 160€ in legacy of dead and 150€ more in my bank acc
i love these wins without a depo
with that kind of luck buy yourself a lottery ticket and you will get a lot more than 150 eur
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6 hours ago, cocopop3011 said:
You're welcome! I hope to see you take part in the next one.
but next time there is a raffle type contest can we make the min win for an entry to be say 20x. that is more reasonable and achievable. cause we got folks in this contest that deposited multiple times and they couldn't get a single 50x+ entry.
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17 minutes ago, Afi4wins said:
When the final draw is made, may the luckiest man wins! The best man doesn't always win does he?
you could win the top prize with your one entry
- Afi4wins and marius1978
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I see lots of people chatting here without having any entries I guess they don't wanna take part anyway
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17 minutes ago, cocopop3011 said:
There are casinos that come very close to this though?
there are but they can be missing some providers.
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Provider Endorphina
in Online Slot Discussions
Posted
Hi welcome to the forum,
will there be a contest sponsored by you on AG? the last time there was one was all the way back in June 2022, about writing a review to win one of 3 Endorphina gift sets.