Toiletseat
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Posts posted by Toiletseat
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Hahaha, I've allready read it.. It is a nice piece indeed, with lots of backgroundstuff. I really did not realize you are such a hotshot in the affiliate business.
Just amazing !! Congrats on this great interview, I only can say I am very glad that you are a part of AG. It is for players a lot safer out there to have AG and Luciana behind them and covering their backs. From my part: A big thank you Luciana
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Hi Siqohuf,
None, and I really mean none, of the mentioned betselections and moneymanagementstrategies will work long term. Sure you will have some luck once or twice using a certain strategy, but in long term they all will fail. Regardless of what sophisticated and well thought over system you may want to play with, eventually the roulettewheel will kill it. Be carefull with progressions, allthough they can bring you some quick easy cash in a short period of time, they allso can kill your entire bankroll within minutes. An ideal roulettesystem would be with flatbets, meaning without using progressions. Also: don't be greedy, getting in a plus is allready quiet an accomplishment.
Concerning making betselections: You can't predict the outcome by looking at the history of spun numbers. A period of repeaters can easliy be followed by a period of sleepers. You just cannot tell wich one will come up. Having said this, take a look how some dealers spin the ball. Sometimes you'll see a dealer who clearly favours a section. This is called dealer's signature. It's one of my personal favourites. Most important: do not let the martingale strategy seduce you
! You'll need a big amount of cash, just to win 1 unit ! It is one of the worst strategies you can play. It should be forbidden 
So, if you really want to feel the thrills what roulette is all about, play it what it is designed for: Gamble
Place bets according to your own gut feelings.Good luck
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Sorry mate, I don't think I'm the one who could give you any advise in this subject.
Value bets are simple based only mathematics and probability closing out every 'human' factor like injury, actual form, rivalry or circumstances like weather and many others and it's really far away from my betting style. It's almost a science to be successful with it long term and I'm more of a passional bettor than to make real depth analysis.
Back to the sure bet system what I'm more familiar with (or at least I was in the past). That's the point of the system, there's no losses at all if your doing everything right but you're right the profits are small and that's why you have to be flexible. If you place 1000 units on a pair of bets the profit is just around 30-50 - at least it's guaranteed - but if you want to make some serious money you have to place not just one bet at a time and this is a very serious process in moneywise standpoint.
No need to be sorry Paquito. I am always very interested in a punter's ideas
I am not that a passionate punter, but I am always eager to find a method to beat the odds. Talking about passion... besides I am passionate about my wife, Lucy, Awena, Coco, Kate and all the other ladies of this great forum, I am definitely a extremely passionate rouletteplayer 
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Hi Awena,
Lots of bookies have countryrestrictions
Pinnacle and Betfair have good odds, as I've heard, but I am restricted from playing at them. Betfair is a specialist in betting exchange, a concept that perhaps best is compared with a stock exchange. Personally I like to recommend SBO bet, a reliable bookie with good odds who handles payouts quickly. Unibet and Bwin are perhaps the most wellknown, are also very reliable, but offer lower odds. Big Pro for Unibet: you can see lots of matches live on Unibet TV . William Hill as Paquito allready said is also a big player with a enormous wide range of offered bets. You also might consider Come On. I hope this helps
, Good Luck punting -
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Thanks Paquito for your very detailled answer regarding the sure bets
. Me too have spend lots of time finding sure bets, and indeed some monitoring tools were very usefull, but the profits are just too small to make up the losses.But could you tell me something more about value bets, more specifically how to determine if a bet has value in it?
Personally I take a look at the head to head statistics, wich almost always results in valued odd of the strong outsider.For example: outsider has lost 9 of 10 away matches against favorite. Statistically outsider has a chance of 10% to win, and 90% to lose. In other words, the bookies are giving higher odds to the outsider as the statistics would suggest.. This method seems to lead to nowhere. The opposite method (when there is value in an outsider, bet the favourite) is also a dead end.
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After a quick search, there's an example.
NHL, WSH-NYI starts tomorrow at 01:00, 2 period 1.5 goals Over/Under
You have odds of 2.10 and 2.12. Profit more than 5%.
Just look how long they will be available to bet on!
Edit: 10:51 Betsafe has now lowered its odds to 1.86 so you would have been
16 mins to place bets.
Betsafe:
Betgun:
Hi Paquito,
An excellent example you showed concerning arbitrage betting. Fortunatelly, in this case there was a 16 minutes timeframe. It happened to me more than once that while a was placing an arbitrage (consisting of 3 bets) , the odds changed so the arbitrage turned useless. The bet I allready placed I lost. And that is exactly the problem. When there is for example an average profit of 5% per arbitrage bet, I need 20 of those bets to make up for the loss I made with one arbitrage that could not be finished placing in time.
You seem to me like an experienced punter.
I am struggling with how to determine if a bet has value in it. I mostly use statistics head to head, but I seem to lose more than I win. Can you give me some advise, or share your thoughts on this subject?Thanks in advance !!
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I don't think it would be so hard if you set up some rules like bank management, don't bet on unfamiliar sports events, don't try to win back instantly your previous losses and some others.
Anyway, there's a system called 'Sure bet or Arbitrage' where you simple can't lose regardless of the outcome of events and sports betting also can be used very effectively to take advantage of any kind of deposit bonuses at bookies and of course it also doesn't hurt if you find some pleasure and excitement in betting.
Lol, I tried the arbitrage betting system, but it is very difficult, if not impossible to play. With constant changing odds you really have to catch the momentum, and hope that while you are placing the bets, the odds are not changing.
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Two ladies that I saw tonight..were not in my taste.
Really, who were they? I know all of 'em
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When it comes to live roulette, nothing can beat the Playtech and VueTec / Distance Gaming client, because it enables you to lower your previous bets by just clicking right mouse button. Something that cannot be done with the Evolution Gaming client ! Playtech used to have to hottest female dealers, but immersive roulette provides much better close ups, and the player can see the dealer from various very interesting angles. Worth to mention is also the new Topless casino, were you have to deal with topless dealers. Big minus: Don't let the peaches distract you from gameplay. They only deal topless for 4 hours a day
and you only should play there when your wife or girlfriend is not at home 
.- Raptordinos, ValDes and Awena
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All William Hill related casinos and all Winner Group casinos do not require ID if withdrawelsum does not exceed a certain amount.
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Thanks but it dont work this time. I make deposit and make some money but after that i get greedy and lose. I start play seriоusly but my number not fall 183 times. Its my first time to see this. And other system six number dont fall more than 35 time in a roll... I start play extreme carefully with 0.01 and without any risk but i lost again.
Sorry to hear that.
I can't seem to win anymore also. 
For your peace of mind, a single number not hitting in 183 spins is no abnormality, just like the six number street not hitting in 35 spins. And that is what makes roulette so hard to beat. We all expect the numbers to hit orderly and predictable, but they don't. They come up totally chaotic and random. Me myself had the pleasure to witness on 3 occassions to see a single number hit 5 (!!) times in a row. (I have seen a lot rouletteaction out there, I am a veteran in this diabolic game ) -
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In Dublin casino low limit roulette start from 0.25 and games are slow and ugly
.They have visa whithdraw and better ranking. But i like long games with small capital without bonuses because i cant find good only for roulette. I searching something like that thanks but i will try betvoyager only whithdraw worry me.I have an account at Dublin Bet, they offer live roulette starting from 0.10. They even offer live baccarat at 0.10. You are absolutely right about the appearances, do not expect to find a young hot chick to spin the wheel
On the other hand, if I want to see hot chicks I'd go to the striptease bar, if my wife lets me . Most important is the reputation of a casino, not their layout, and Dublin Bet's reputation is good. But that is just my opinion. You must do what is best according to yourself. Well, good luck at BetVoyager, I hope you win big -
A video?
Yes, a video
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Hi YummyGummy,
Do you want to play at BetVoyager because they offer "no zero roulette" ? I know some people play at that casino, and they have very mixed experiences.
Dublin Bet , wich offers a live low limit roulette should also be available for bulgarian players. Infact, you also can play live with playmoney. I've only heard good experiences about them.
Good luck
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Sorry for that Bogdany
. This kind of operator behaviour is unprofessional, not letting a regular player know he is now excluded because he lives in a certain country. Let's wait what ValDes finds out, but to me it reeks like some sort discrimination towards Romanian players. -
Thank you Toilie ,i am ok ,despite i am on the looosers track ,but that will change,hope sooner
That is bad news. Take Afi's advice, collect and withdraw your winnings in an early stage. Don't get greedy ! I hope your lucky streak will come back asap. And stay luck in love, and healthy in shape.
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Hahaha, well, this is a shameless casino, so it made this topic and me, shameless too hahaha
Shameless? Nudity (read topless) is just art. There is no shame in art, wild Lucy
But tell me, have you played at this particular casino actually?
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Hi Toilie i am so happy to see you feeling better,if you can "workout"
then you are oookkk hun Thanks Kate, much appreciated. I hope you are allright and okay allso.
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I mean, did she wanted to seduce you or she got up or something?
I know what you ment . I saw her naked because she was about to take a shower. And as you know me by now, I could not resist the temptation and jumped right in. Nothing beats a good workout, eh pardon, a good shower in the early morning -
. How many people do you know who take a shower with their clothes on?
How to increase your winning probability in Roulette?
in Casinos General
Posted
Hi siqohuf,
I don't want to ruin your dream or good spirit
, I am only a honest rouletteplayer. Let me tell you something about myself. I've won literally thousands of euros, but I've lost them also. My overall balance is definitelly negative, I've lost more than I won.
Many years I've spent searching for a good strategy, I am even a member
of a forum, wich is entirely dedicated in search of the holy grail. And man, some geniuses are also part of that community, but despite all brainpower, all sophisticated testing software and all effort we still did not found the magic formula. Why? Because it does not exist. I could tell you a lot more of the enormous amount of strategies that have been tested, but Ask Gamblers is really not the place for this. Besides that:: All systems did fail at the end 
But we all agree on how the perfect roulettesystem should look like:
Flatbets, meaning no progression, this is the most important aspect !
Must be applicable to pleins, splits, quads, lines, streets, dozens and even chances.
System can survive over 1 million spins
You see
, 'there is no strategy' is not just an easy answer. Darn... I've spent lots of time and lots of euros to make sure there really is not one 