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Branchen

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About Branchen

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  • Gender
    Male
  • Location
    Denmark
  • Interests
    Sport, betting, fantasy football, playing darts

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  1. The highlight of the upcoming Premier League round is without a doubt the North London derby Sunday evening between Tottenham Hotspur and Arsenal. It is one of the fiercest derbies in English football, and we are in for a proper treat here. Arsenal enters the match in great form and are the bookmaker favourites as well. Bet365 are at the time of writing offering odds 2.30 on an Arsenal victory, while the home team are offered at odds 3.00. Tottenham are off to a mixed start this season with just four points in their first three matches. Last week, they suffered a defeat to Newcastle, and they are starting to get under pressure to get some points. Arsenal on the other hand have started great. They have seven points so far despite facing difficult opponents in Wolves, Villa and Brighton. Before their draw against Brighton before the national team break, they had eight Premier League victories in a row, and they are obviously looking to start a new winning streak here. It speaks to Arsenal's advantage that they have won the previous two North London derbies at Tottenham's stadium. However, Spurs have a good chance here for breaking that streak as the guests will be without star players Declan Rice and Martin Ødegaard. I expect a close match between two good teams, and I think the absence of Arsenal's midfield stars is a crucial aspect here. My Tottenham - Arsenal prediction is therefore a draw at odds 3.50 at Bet365. This is a result that both teams should be relatively satisfied with, and I expect an even match here.
  2. Sunday afternoon, we have a pure London derby between Chelsea and Crystal Palace at Stamford Bridge. Once again, I'll dig a bit into the background of the match before sharing my Chelsea - Crystal Palace prediction and tip at the end. And naturally, I also hope you'll share your predictions for this London derby. Chelsea are favourites at home according to bet365, but I have a feeling we could be in for a close match here. Chelsea have three points after their first two matches, while Palace have zero. The home side have won their previous 14 home matches against Crystal Palace, and are coming off an aggregate victory against Servette in the Conference League qualification. Chelsea should thus aim at keeping their good form alive and build on the victory to climb the table. Palace are also coming off an impressive victory, as they defeated Norwich 4-0 in the EFL Cup earlier this week. This gave them a much needed confidence boost ahead of this fixture. Chelsea - Crystal Palace prediction: Chelsea are by far the strongest team on paper here. Palace are still trying to find their impressive form from last season, but the loss of Olise to Bayern Munich seems to be affecting them negatively. Nevertheless, I don't expect Palace to just hand the three points to Chelsea. They are still a dangerous team, and they'll try to take any chances that arrives. I'm expecting a match with goals here, and my betting tip for the match is over 2.5 goals at 1.5 at bet365. Chelsea won 6-2 against Wolverhampton last weekend, and there have been over 2.5 goals in 13 of their last 15 Premier League games. That trend should continue here. What are you guys' Chelsea - Crystal Palace predictions? Share them and let's beat the bookmakers together.
  3. Sunday evening, we have one of football's absolute highlights when Manchester United take on Liverpool at Old Trafford. The guests are favourites according to the bookmakers, but I think anyone knows that anything can happen in a derby match like this one. Here is what the odds look like on the outcome of the match: It is not without reason that Liverpool are favourites here. The Reds have looked fine under new manager Arne Slot so far with two 2-0 victories in a row. Leading up to this match, Liverpool have even signed Juventus star Federico Chiesa, and he might get his debut Sunday. United on the other hand lost 2-1 to Brighton last weekend, and are still looking shaky - just like they did last season. United have been active in the transfer window this summer, but we are yet to see a big impact on the field by the arrivals and departures. I think it is safe to say that Erik Ten Hag's life will get a lot more difficult if he loses this match, and the seat beneath him warmer. Expected line ups: Manchester United: Onana; Mazraoui, de Ligt, Martinez, Dalot; Mainoo, Casemiro; Diallo, Fernandes, Rashford; Zirkzee. Liverpool: Alisson; Alexander-Arnold, Konate, van Dijk, Robertson; Gravenberch, Mac Allister; Salah, Szoboszlai, Diaz; Jota. Man Utd - Liverpool betting tips: The big question here is naturally what to bet on. I'm assuming we have a lot of people in this forum that are fans of either of the two teams, and that they'll naturally prefer to bet on their teams. However, if we keep emotions out of this, I think the best bet here is on Liverpool at 1.85 at bet365. Liverpool have started the season playing significantly better and more effective football than Manchester United, and they could easily have scored more goals against Brentford last week. Liverpool have furthermore been playing pretty well defensively, and only conceded a total xG of 0.55 in their first two matches. Man United are obviusly a stronger team than Ipswich and Brentford, but it is very promising nevertheless. Lastly, it is also to Liverpool's advantage that United are struggling. The Red Devils are still trying to integrate their new players into the team, and they furthermore have to do without striker Rasmus Højlund who remains injured. What are you guys betting on for this match?
  4. Generally, I avoid deposit bonuses (but it obviously depends on the terms as there are some great ones), as I like to be able to move my money around. But I try to take advantage of free bet promos and similar where there is value to gain.
  5. Personally, I have a personal spreadsheet where I track all my bets. I'm also noting down my inspirations for the bets to see which sources are profitable and which aren't. This way I've also learnt of various bad habits I have, and tried to erradicate them. I'm strictly sticking to value betting naturally and my staking is unit based on my overall bankroll size. Here I take into consideration both the value and the risk of the specific bet. Mostly I'm sticking to single bets. At the end of the day though, I think the most important thing is the discipline to not throw money away on bad bets and to avoid tilt.
  6. The second round of the Premier League is ahead of us, and it is time to start preparing for our bets with the attempts to beat the bookmakers. We have ten games ahead of us, spread over the weekend, and there are several exciting betting opportunities. Starting this weekend, we’ll update this thread every week with our Premier League betting tips, and we hope that you will participate in the discussion and share your own tips and betslips. There is room for all kinds of betting here, so feel free to post both short and long tips, betbuilders, accas/parleys and single bets. The highlight of the round is the Saturday evening clash between Aston Villa and Arsenal at Villa Park. Both teams are entering the season with high hopes to compete at the very top and they both won their opening fixture last weekend. Last season’s number two in the Premier League, Arsenal, comes to Villa Park as the favourites. They played well in their season opener and are looking to challenge for the title once again. The price on the away side, however, is a bit too low for my liking. Villa Park is a difficult place to visit, and Villa won their previous home match against Gunners with 1-0. My best bet for this match is a player prop found at Bet365. They offer odds 2.10 on Martin Ødegaard over 0.5 shots on target. Last season the Norwegian averaged 2.2 shots per match with 0.7 on target per match and scored eight league goals. He is one of the set piece takers for Arsenal, and an absolute key player in their offensive gameplan. Villa are furthermore looking slightly worse defensively compared to last season after the loss of Brazilian international Douglas Luiz. I think Ødegaard will be able to find space and dangerous situations here. The second most interesting match this round, in my humble opinion, is the fixture at Anfield Road where Liverpool takes on Brentford in Arne Slot’s homefield debut. Liverpool are firm favourites here, but Brentford have previously proved that they can cause trouble for all teams. Once again, the price on the favourites is too low for my liking. Brentford is not a bad team, and they played well in their victory over Crystal Palace last weekend. Instead, I’m looking at a player that looks set to have a really nice season under Slot’s guidance – Diogo Jota. I recommend betting on Jota to score anytime at odds 2.00 at Bet365. The Portuguese international scored last weekend, and looked really good. Jota should start for Liverpool again, and he also scored in the home match against Brentford last season. Which Premier League bets are you placing this weekend, and what do you think of my recommendations here? Let's beat the bookies together!
  7. Hi! Thank you for the introduction! I'm very happy to be here and looking forward to contributing. I've been working with sports betting since the mid-00s. I've been running both my own betting tip website, a tip subscribtion service and worked as a tipster on one of the largest betting sites in Scandinavia. I have always been a firm believer in the importance of discipline and value betting when it comes to beating the bookmakers, and are these days mostly betting on Danish football as well as NFL - especially player props.
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