Branchen

Following the international break, Premier League football is back on the menu (finally!!!). The highlight this weekend is the Sunday evening clash between Liverpool and Chelsea. It is a real six-pointer in its truest form as Liverpool are leading the league while Chelsea are sitting fourth. These two teams have played some historic matches in the last decade, and the clash is evolving into a semi-classic of English football despite the geopgraphical distance between the cities. Liverpool are favourites home at Anfield Road. Bet365 offers odds 1.6 on the Reds, while Chelsea are priced at odds 5.00 at the same bookmaker. Personally, I'm expecting an even match here between two great sides. However, I do not expect a ton of goals. My Liverpool - Chelsea tip is Under 3.5 goals at odds 1.8 at Bet365. Liverpool have just conceded two goals this season, but are also not scoring at the same rate as under Jürgen Klopp. They are a more balanced team. A similar thing can be said about Chelsea as they have just conceded twice in all of their away matches. The two teams here also doesn't have a history of playing matches rich in goals. Six of the seven previous meetings between them have actually ended with less than 2.5 goals. The fact that both teams are missing some key players defensively should only strengthen a more cautious approach. For Liverpool, goalkeeper Allison is out, while Chelsea are missing defenders Cucurella and Fofona. I predict a match fought in the trenches, where both teams will have to work really hard to create chances.

England are coming off a disastrous home defeat to Greece and need to get back on the horse in this match away against Finland. The Three Lions are huge favourites, offered at odds 1.3 at Bet365, while Finland are priced at odds 10. However, England have been shaky lately, and Lee Carsley is still experimenting and trying to figure out his best formation. I expect England to prioritize this match and win the fans back with a good performance. They need to showcase a much better performance than against Greece, and the pressure is on. Head coach Lee Carsley is also fighting for his life as he only has three games left to prove to the FA that he should become a permanent solution on the position. My prediction for Finland - England is thus asian handicap England -1.5 at odds 2 from Bet365. England needs to score goals here and they need a convincing victory. I think Lee Carsley and his troops will deliver on those two purposes, and expect a good match from the Lions.

We have to start with the obvious talking point here. This match could be Manchester United manager Erik Ten Hag's last on the sideline of the Red Devils. After this match the national team break awaits, and those breaks are notorious for being a popular time to change manager. United are in awful form, and they enter this match at Villa Park as the underdog. Bet365 have priced Aston Villa at odds 2.20, while Man United are offered at odds 3.00. I betted against Man United in their mid-week Europa League match against Porto, as some might remember, and ended up with a voided bet. Man United equalized in the dying minutes of the match after throwing away a 2-0 lead in the first half. The match was their fourth in a row without a victory, and they must battle with the confidence. Villa on the other hand are coming off an impressive 1-0 victory at home against German giants Bayern Munich in the Champions League, and are sitting 5th in the Premier League. My best Aston Villa - Man United prediction is Aston Villa to win at odds 2.20 at Bet365. It also speaks to Villa's advantage that they have had another day of rest compared to United since they played Wednesday. Furthermore, Villa played at home, while United played away in Portugal. These small details matters and I wouldn't be surprised if the United players have sore legs Sunday. The big question though is how much the United players want Ten Hag to stay. In their recent matches, the team doesn't look like it is fighting for the manager. The players seems to have given up and the performances have been awful. Ten Hag could be gone if United lose, and we have seen before that teams are unwilling to fight for the gaffer. At United, this happened before Mourinho was sacked for example.

After two days of Champions League football, we are on to the lesser European tournaments tonight. However, that doesn't mean that we don't have some exciting matches ahead of us. The prime one is in the Europa League between two former Champions League winners in FC Porto and Manchester United. The Portuguese powerhouse are favourites at home at odds 2.30 at Bet365, while Manchester United are priced at odds 2.90. When looking at this match, it is difficult, nearly impossible, to be optimistic on Man United's behalf. They are entering this match as a team in a deep crisis, and my Porto - Man Utd prediction is therefore FC Porto (0) at odds 1.67 at Bet365. This asian handicap line is the same as betting on the draw-no-bet market, but the payout and odds is slightly higher. I'm putting my money on Porto here since they have only lost once at home at Estadio do Dragao in 2024. They have defeated big clubs like Arsenal and Shakhtar Donetsk here recently, and have also won all of their home matches this season. Man United on the other hand have played three matches in a row without winning and are looking lost. They were demolished at home to Tottenham in the weekend, and have won just three of their last nine matches. Manager Erik Ten Hag seems doomed and like a person who is running out of ideas. To make things worse for United, they have only scored five goals in the league so far this season and have only scored in two of their five league matches. Since United have a packed schedule, I'm also expecting them to give a few back up players the chance in this match. We saw that against Twente in the first round where Christian Eriksen started for example.

Wednesday evening we could be in for another one of those magical European nights at Anfield Road when Liverpool take Bologna in The Champions League. The Italian outfit were one of the revelations of the previous season, and their visit to Anfield Road is one of the club's biggest matches in decades. Liverpool are the favourites at home, as usual, with Bet365 offering odds 1.18 on Arne Slot's team. Bologna, on the other hand, are priced at odds 15. Although Bologna aren't on the same level as last season, I have high expectations for this match. The Italians can more or less play without any pressure here, and it should give them a small boost. I expect them to play their chance and play to their strengths. They are a team with their strengths in the attacking part of the game, and I think they'll attempt to take Liverpool on. I expect a match with chances in both ends of the pitch, and my Liverpool - Bologna prediction is therefore both teams to score at odds 2.05 at bet365. Liverpool are great offensively, but they do concede a lot of goals. They have conceded in four of their previous five matches in all tournaments. Bologna on the other hand have scored in seven of their nine matches this season, so I feel very good about this tip.

I'm loving these weeks where we have European football every week. After Europa League last week, Champions League returns this week and we get a clash of giants tonight at Emirates, when Arsenal take on PSG. The home team are big favourites here - currently offered at odds 1.73 at Bet365. PSG, on the other hand, are offered at odds 5.00, while the bookmaker has odds 3.75 on the draw. My Arsenal - PSG prediction is Arsenal to win at odds 1.73. PSG have travelled to London without star winger Ousmane Dembele. He is under an internal suspension after falling out with head coach Luis Enrique in their previous match, and hasn't joined the team for this match. Dembele, who has four Ligue 1 goals and three assists to his name this season, is PSG's biggest star and best player, so he's a big loss. Arsenal are furthermore strong at home at Emirates, where they have only lost twice in 2024. One of those defeats was with reserves in the Cup. It should of course be mentioned that even without Dembele, PSG remains a stellar football team. They haven't lost since May, and they are crusing towards yet another French championship in the league. However, Champions League is a different beast, and they don't face any teams of Arsenal's level in the domestic league. I'm betting comfortably on Arsenal here.

The absolute highlight of this Premier League round, at least for me, is Sunday evening when Man United take on Tottenham Hotspur at Old Trafford. United are small favourites at home, currently offered at odds 2.40 at Bet365, while Spurs are offered at odds 2.70. Neither team have started the season well, and they are both sitting midtable with seven points each after the first five games. Neither of them can thus afford a defeat in this crucial match, and therefore I expect a hard fought and even contest between two underperforming teams. Both teams have struggled offensively, and I expect that trend to continue. They are not creating enough chances and the conversion is poor. My prediction for this match is a draw, and I think odds 3.75 at Bet365 on this outcome is paid nicely. Especially considering the previous meeting at Old Trafford finished 2-2, and that two of the previous five head-to-head meetings has ended with a draw.

We have a good Premier League match ahead of us tonight when Wolverhampton takes on Liverpool. The away team is naturally the favourite here, but Wolves are never an easy team to play against. Especially not at Molineux. Liverpool are currently all the way down at 1.33 at Bet365, which is way too low for my liking, while Wolves are offered at odds 8.00 at the same bookmaker. We have a match here between two teams in opposite ends of the table. Liverpool are second, while Wolves are dead last. However, part of Wolves' story is that they have had an incredible difficult opening schedule, and I do think they have performed better than their spot in the table suggests. My tip for this match is on Wolves star Matheus Cunha to have over 0.5 shots on target at odds 2.20 at Bet365. Cunha has scored twice already this season, and scored six goals in the last ten games of last season as well. He averages 2.8 shots per match with 1.2 of them being on target. This are impressive numbers and suggests that he should cover the line here as well. It is furthermore likely that Liverpool will take the lead, which will force Cunha and Wolves to think more offensively and take more shots.

The highlight of the upcoming Premier League round is without a doubt the North London derby Sunday evening between Tottenham Hotspur and Arsenal. It is one of the fiercest derbies in English football, and we are in for a proper treat here. Arsenal enters the match in great form and are the bookmaker favourites as well. Bet365 are at the time of writing offering odds 2.30 on an Arsenal victory, while the home team are offered at odds 3.00. Tottenham are off to a mixed start this season with just four points in their first three matches. Last week, they suffered a defeat to Newcastle, and they are starting to get under pressure to get some points. Arsenal on the other hand have started great. They have seven points so far despite facing difficult opponents in Wolves, Villa and Brighton. Before their draw against Brighton before the national team break, they had eight Premier League victories in a row, and they are obviously looking to start a new winning streak here. It speaks to Arsenal's advantage that they have won the previous two North London derbies at Tottenham's stadium. However, Spurs have a good chance here for breaking that streak as the guests will be without star players Declan Rice and Martin Ødegaard. I expect a close match between two good teams, and I think the absence of Arsenal's midfield stars is a crucial aspect here. My Tottenham - Arsenal prediction is therefore a draw at odds 3.50 at Bet365. This is a result that both teams should be relatively satisfied with, and I expect an even match here.

Sunday afternoon, we have a pure London derby between Chelsea and Crystal Palace at Stamford Bridge. Once again, I'll dig a bit into the background of the match before sharing my Chelsea - Crystal Palace prediction and tip at the end. And naturally, I also hope you'll share your predictions for this London derby. Chelsea are favourites at home according to bet365, but I have a feeling we could be in for a close match here. Chelsea have three points after their first two matches, while Palace have zero. The home side have won their previous 14 home matches against Crystal Palace, and are coming off an aggregate victory against Servette in the Conference League qualification. Chelsea should thus aim at keeping their good form alive and build on the victory to climb the table. Palace are also coming off an impressive victory, as they defeated Norwich 4-0 in the EFL Cup earlier this week. This gave them a much needed confidence boost ahead of this fixture. Chelsea - Crystal Palace prediction: Chelsea are by far the strongest team on paper here. Palace are still trying to find their impressive form from last season, but the loss of Olise to Bayern Munich seems to be affecting them negatively. Nevertheless, I don't expect Palace to just hand the three points to Chelsea. They are still a dangerous team, and they'll try to take any chances that arrives. I'm expecting a match with goals here, and my betting tip for the match is over 2.5 goals at 1.5 at bet365. Chelsea won 6-2 against Wolverhampton last weekend, and there have been over 2.5 goals in 13 of their last 15 Premier League games. That trend should continue here. What are you guys' Chelsea - Crystal Palace predictions? Share them and let's beat the bookmakers together.

Sunday evening, we have one of football's absolute highlights when Manchester United take on Liverpool at Old Trafford. The guests are favourites according to the bookmakers, but I think anyone knows that anything can happen in a derby match like this one. Here is what the odds look like on the outcome of the match: It is not without reason that Liverpool are favourites here. The Reds have looked fine under new manager Arne Slot so far with two 2-0 victories in a row. Leading up to this match, Liverpool have even signed Juventus star Federico Chiesa, and he might get his debut Sunday. United on the other hand lost 2-1 to Brighton last weekend, and are still looking shaky - just like they did last season. United have been active in the transfer window this summer, but we are yet to see a big impact on the field by the arrivals and departures. I think it is safe to say that Erik Ten Hag's life will get a lot more difficult if he loses this match, and the seat beneath him warmer. Expected line ups: Manchester United: Onana; Mazraoui, de Ligt, Martinez, Dalot; Mainoo, Casemiro; Diallo, Fernandes, Rashford; Zirkzee. Liverpool: Alisson; Alexander-Arnold, Konate, van Dijk, Robertson; Gravenberch, Mac Allister; Salah, Szoboszlai, Diaz; Jota. Man Utd - Liverpool betting tips: The big question here is naturally what to bet on. I'm assuming we have a lot of people in this forum that are fans of either of the two teams, and that they'll naturally prefer to bet on their teams. However, if we keep emotions out of this, I think the best bet here is on Liverpool at 1.85 at bet365. Liverpool have started the season playing significantly better and more effective football than Manchester United, and they could easily have scored more goals against Brentford last week. Liverpool have furthermore been playing pretty well defensively, and only conceded a total xG of 0.55 in their first two matches. Man United are obviusly a stronger team than Ipswich and Brentford, but it is very promising nevertheless. Lastly, it is also to Liverpool's advantage that United are struggling. The Red Devils are still trying to integrate their new players into the team, and they furthermore have to do without striker Rasmus Højlund who remains injured. What are you guys betting on for this match?

Generally, I avoid deposit bonuses (but it obviously depends on the terms as there are some great ones), as I like to be able to move my money around. But I try to take advantage of free bet promos and similar where there is value to gain.

Personally, I have a personal spreadsheet where I track all my bets. I'm also noting down my inspirations for the bets to see which sources are profitable and which aren't. This way I've also learnt of various bad habits I have, and tried to erradicate them. I'm strictly sticking to value betting naturally and my staking is unit based on my overall bankroll size. Here I take into consideration both the value and the risk of the specific bet. Mostly I'm sticking to single bets. At the end of the day though, I think the most important thing is the discipline to not throw money away on bad bets and to avoid tilt.

The second round of the Premier League is ahead of us, and it is time to start preparing for our bets with the attempts to beat the bookmakers. We have ten games ahead of us, spread over the weekend, and there are several exciting betting opportunities. Starting this weekend, we’ll update this thread every week with our Premier League betting tips, and we hope that you will participate in the discussion and share your own tips and betslips. There is room for all kinds of betting here, so feel free to post both short and long tips, betbuilders, accas/parleys and single bets. The highlight of the round is the Saturday evening clash between Aston Villa and Arsenal at Villa Park. Both teams are entering the season with high hopes to compete at the very top and they both won their opening fixture last weekend. Last season’s number two in the Premier League, Arsenal, comes to Villa Park as the favourites. They played well in their season opener and are looking to challenge for the title once again. The price on the away side, however, is a bit too low for my liking. Villa Park is a difficult place to visit, and Villa won their previous home match against Gunners with 1-0. My best bet for this match is a player prop found at Bet365. They offer odds 2.10 on Martin Ødegaard over 0.5 shots on target. Last season the Norwegian averaged 2.2 shots per match with 0.7 on target per match and scored eight league goals. He is one of the set piece takers for Arsenal, and an absolute key player in their offensive gameplan. Villa are furthermore looking slightly worse defensively compared to last season after the loss of Brazilian international Douglas Luiz. I think Ødegaard will be able to find space and dangerous situations here. The second most interesting match this round, in my humble opinion, is the fixture at Anfield Road where Liverpool takes on Brentford in Arne Slot’s homefield debut. Liverpool are firm favourites here, but Brentford have previously proved that they can cause trouble for all teams. Once again, the price on the favourites is too low for my liking. Brentford is not a bad team, and they played well in their victory over Crystal Palace last weekend. Instead, I’m looking at a player that looks set to have a really nice season under Slot’s guidance – Diogo Jota. I recommend betting on Jota to score anytime at odds 2.00 at Bet365. The Portuguese international scored last weekend, and looked really good. Jota should start for Liverpool again, and he also scored in the home match against Brentford last season. Which Premier League bets are you placing this weekend, and what do you think of my recommendations here? Let's beat the bookies together!

Hi! Thank you for the introduction! I'm very happy to be here and looking forward to contributing. I've been working with sports betting since the mid-00s. I've been running both my own betting tip website, a tip subscribtion service and worked as a tipster on one of the largest betting sites in Scandinavia. I have always been a firm believer in the importance of discipline and value betting when it comes to beating the bookmakers, and are these days mostly betting on Danish football as well as NFL - especially player props.