OnLine Blackjack RTP

[Robbo0074]

Hi, I brand new to these boards - this is my first post.

I have a question about Online Blackjack RTP. So it's a fairly bog-standard On-Line Blackjack game, from a 2 fairly "reputable" Casino's. I play perfect blackjack, using bog-standard strategy.
I've managed to retrieve my play history from the last 6 months. I've played around 6700 hands although most of them are multihand, so I'd reckon that this value could be doubled, although bet sizes are relatively small.
Obviously, with the house-edge, I'd expect a loss, which indeed, I have. However, whilst the RTP is advertised at around 99.5%, I've calculated that I've managed to only win 96.94% - which for me is a significant difference. I understand that there can be big variance swings which should eventually even themselves out, but for in excess of 12000 hands (when you include the multi-hand element), this does seem excessive.
Do you think I have grounds to be suspicious that I'm not getting a fair game ?

[Afi4wins]

Hello there Robbo and welcome to Askgamblers forum. 

 

First and foremost, I'm no expert on any table game, as I only play slots nowadays, but where RTP is concerned, I guess the basic principle still remains the same for slots or table games.

 

Any RTP should be looked upon as purely a guide as to how any particular game should and would play and pay. As a general rule, any RTP indicator is based on lots and lots of completed hands or spins, probably like over at least 1 million spins for slot games, and probably for at least 1 million hands too for table games, so even your 12,000 completed hands is but a small fraction of the overall RTP equation!

 

What it means is that, your 12,000 hands does not make any difference to the RTP, so getting that 96.94% is as damn close to the RTP as you can get! Others may be getting not even 50% (for heavy losers), whilst winners may be getting RTP of well over 100%! That's because your current play on any game may vary considerably from day to day, from losing badly, to winning heavily. I guess your luck of the day plays a lot to it.

 

As I see it, if you are getting that close to the indicated RTP of any game, then you are quite safe, and there shouldn't be anything to complain about. Nonetheless, if your RTP should occasionally fall to below 50%, then you should just take it as your unlucky day. Likewise if you're winning big too.