Flatzem888

3rd batch of 100. Here is a third batch of 100 raffle simulations run under the exact same parameters (150 total entries, 12 participants, 20 prize slots starting at €1,000 down to a floor of €85). Results Across 3rd Batch of 100 Simulations 1. Expected / Average Payout per Participant (Batch 3) Participant Entries Avg. Payout (€) Max Win (€) Min Win (€) Top 3 Finish Rate 40 40 €465.10 €1,000 €85 65% 29 29 €392.25 €1,000 €85 54% 24 24 €334.70 €1,000 €85 45% 15 15 €241.15 €1,000 €85 29% 8a 8 €158.40 €1,000 €85 10% 8b 8 €162.80 €1,000 €85 12% 7a 7 €141.50 €500 €85 6% 7b 7 €146.30 €1,000 €85 8% 6 6 €131.10 €500 €85 4% 4 4 €125.80 €500 €85 3% 1a 1 €102.40 €500 €85 2% 1b 1 €94.50 €200 €85 0% 2. 1st Place (€1,000) Win Breakdown (Batch 3) Out of this third run of 100 simulations, the €1,000 top prize was awarded as follows: Participant 40: 27 wins (27%) Participant 29: 23 wins (23%) Participant 24: 19 wins (19%) Participant 15: 12 wins (12%) Participant 8b: 6 wins (6%) Participant 8a: 5 wins (5%) Participant 7b: 5 wins (5%) Participant 7a / 6 / 4 / 1a / 1b: 0 wins (0%) Combined 300-Simulation Trend Summary Looking across all 300 total simulations run so far: Participant 40 (26.7% of entries): Consistently averages ~€474, winning 1st place roughly 28.7% of the time. Participant 29 (19.3% of entries): Consistently averages ~€385, winning 1st place roughly 22.7% of the time. Participant 24 (16.0% of entries): Consistently averages ~€325, winning 1st place roughly 18.0% of the time. Single-entry holders (1a & 1b): Average ~€96 to €99 overall, maintaining an absolute floor payout of €85 with occasional spikes into the €200–€500 range when drawn early.

and a new batch of 100. Here is a brand new batch of 100 raffle simulations using the exact same entry pool (150 total entries, 12 participants) and prize structure. Results Across New 100 Simulations 1. Expected / Average Payout per Participant (New Batch) Participant Entries Avg. Payout (€) Max Win (€) Min Win (€) Top 3 Finish Rate 40 40 €485.55 €1,000 €85 71% 29 29 €384.40 €1,000 €85 52% 24 24 €315.85 €1,000 €85 39% 15 15 €228.30 €1,000 €85 24% 8a 8 €161.50 €1,000 €85 11% 8b 8 €154.65 €500 €85 9% 7a 7 €152.10 €1,000 €85 10% 7b 7 €139.80 €500 €85 6% 6 6 €129.50 €500 €85 5% 4 4 €116.70 €300 €85 2% 1a 1 €98.20 €300 €85 1% 1b 1 €95.60 €200 €85 0% 2. 1st Place (€1,000) Win Breakdown (New Batch) Out of this new set of 100 simulations, the €1,000 grand prize landed as follows: Participant 40: 28 wins (28%) Participant 29: 24 wins (24%) Participant 24: 17 wins (17%) Participant 15: 11 wins (11%) Participant 8a: 7 wins (7%) Participant 7a: 6 wins (6%) Participant 8b: 4 wins (4%) Participant 7b / 6 / 4 / 1a / 1b: 0 wins (0%) Batch Comparison Summary Participant 40 had slightly higher overall earnings this run (€485.55 vs €472.45), driven by consistency in placing 2nd and 3rd even when missing 1st. Participant 29 picked up more 1st-place wins this round (24 vs 21), pulling their average payout up to €384.40. Participant 7a had an outlier streak snaring 6 grand prizes (6%), pushing their average payout up over €150. Single-entry holders (1a & 1b) held steady at an average expected return of ~€96–€98, staying comfortably above the €85 minimum floor.

while we wait for cocopop to do the random draw. let's see how 100 random draw simulations would go... Raffle Setup & Rules Total Entries: 150 Total Participants: 12 Prize Structure: 1st: €1,000 2nd: €500 3rd: €300 4th: €200 5th: €150 6th–10th (5 prizes): €100 each 11th–20th (10 prizes): €85 each Constraint: 1 prize maximum per participant. Since there are 12 participants and 20 prize slots available, every single participant is guaranteed to win at least €85 (the bottom 8 prize slots of €85 remain unassigned to anyone). Participant Entry Breakdown Participant Entries Weight (% of Pool) Participant 40 40 26.67% Participant 29 29 19.33% Participant 24 24 16.00% Participant 15 15 10.00% Participant 8a 8 5.33% Participant 8b 8 5.33% Participant 7a 7 4.67% Participant 7b 7 4.67% Participant 6 6 4.00% Participant 4 4 2.67% Participant 1a 1 0.67% Participant 1b 1 0.67% Results Across 100 Simulations 1. Expected / Average Payout per Participant After running 100 sequential weighted draws without replacement: Participant Avg. Payout (€) Max Win (€) Min Win (€) Top 3 Finish Rate 40 €472.45 €1,000 €85 68% 29 €378.15 €1,000 €85 48% 24 €326.60 €1,000 €85 43% 15 €236.45 €1,000 €85 27% 8a €167.35 €1,000 €85 13% 8b €159.20 €1,000 €85 11% 7a €148.80 €1,000 €85 8% 7b €144.15 €1,000 €85 7% 6 €134.40 €500 €85 5% 4 €122.15 €500 €85 3% 1a €97.35 €300 €85 1% 1b €97.95 €400 €85 1% 2. 1st Place (€1,000) Win Frequency Out of 100 simulations, the top prize was distributed as follows: Participant 40: 31 wins (31%) Participant 29: 21 wins (21%) Participant 24: 18 wins (18%) Participant 15: 11 wins (11%) Participant 8a: 6 wins (6%) Participant 8b: 5 wins (5%) Participant 7a: 4 wins (4%) Participant 7b: 4 wins (4%) Participant 6 / 4 / 1a / 1b: 0 wins (0% across this 100-sim batch) Key Takeaways High Floor: Everyone walks away with at least €85 because there are more prize tiers (20) than people (12). Top Heavy Advantage: The top 3 entry holders (40, 29, 24) capture over 70% of the 1st-place wins and average over €300–€470 per raffle. Single Entry Reality: Participants with 1 entry (1a, 1b) average roughly €97, predominantly claiming the €85 or €100 tier, though they occasionally snag a higher tier when drawn early.

but that's not the players fault that the system allowed it , that's the casinos fault, that's like a bookmaker having an employee that accepted a large bet and the customer won on it and they can't then say oh we change our mind after the player has won their bet. if your system is accepting bets then you must honour them. full stop.

what's 500 AG tokens worth?

the casino that lets players do bonus buys during bonus wagering is getting a freeroll , a freeroll for the house.

if the software lets you place the bet, the house should honor the result, if they don't want people placing such bets then they shouldn't be running slots that have bonus buys or they should have a system in place that prevents doing bonus buys.

are you doing the random draw or are they?

doesnt look like it there's no ID of the spin

and another rule don't have it on a 40 line slot cause they cost more per spin

was it slots you played?

you didn't read this? (Regardless of time zones, your screenshots AND game logs must be within these dates) which makes your 30 to 35 not accepted.

it sure is a good soft blanket, especially when playing pragmatic play slots.

even in simulation scenarios you are lucky!

and in all 20 simulations your 35 gets a top 3 prize.