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Toiletseat

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  1. Like
    Toiletseat got a reaction from paquito76 in How to increase your winning probability in Roulette?   
    Hi Siqohuf,
    None, and I really mean none, of the mentioned betselections and moneymanagementstrategies will work long term. Sure you will have some luck once or twice using a certain strategy, but in long term they all will fail. Regardless of what sophisticated and well thought over system you may want to play with, eventually the roulettewheel will kill it. Be carefull with progressions, allthough they can bring you some quick easy cash in  a short period of time, they allso can kill your entire bankroll within minutes. An ideal roulettesystem would be with flatbets, meaning without using progressions. Also: don't be greedy, getting in a plus is allready quiet an accomplishment.
    Concerning making betselections: You can't predict the outcome by looking at the history of spun numbers. A period of repeaters can easliy be followed by a period of sleepers. You just cannot tell wich one will come up. Having said this, take a look how some dealers spin the ball. Sometimes you'll see a dealer who clearly favours a section. This is called dealer's signature. It's one of my personal favourites. Most important: do not let the martingale strategy seduce you    ! You'll need a big amount of cash, just to win 1 unit ! It is one of the worst strategies you can play. It should be forbidden 
    So, if you really want to feel the thrills what roulette is all about, play it what it is designed for: Gamble    Place bets according to your own gut feelings.
    Good luck 
  2. Like
    Toiletseat got a reaction from blondie in How to increase your winning probability in Roulette?   
    Hi Siqohuf,
    None, and I really mean none, of the mentioned betselections and moneymanagementstrategies will work long term. Sure you will have some luck once or twice using a certain strategy, but in long term they all will fail. Regardless of what sophisticated and well thought over system you may want to play with, eventually the roulettewheel will kill it. Be carefull with progressions, allthough they can bring you some quick easy cash in  a short period of time, they allso can kill your entire bankroll within minutes. An ideal roulettesystem would be with flatbets, meaning without using progressions. Also: don't be greedy, getting in a plus is allready quiet an accomplishment.
    Concerning making betselections: You can't predict the outcome by looking at the history of spun numbers. A period of repeaters can easliy be followed by a period of sleepers. You just cannot tell wich one will come up. Having said this, take a look how some dealers spin the ball. Sometimes you'll see a dealer who clearly favours a section. This is called dealer's signature. It's one of my personal favourites. Most important: do not let the martingale strategy seduce you    ! You'll need a big amount of cash, just to win 1 unit ! It is one of the worst strategies you can play. It should be forbidden 
    So, if you really want to feel the thrills what roulette is all about, play it what it is designed for: Gamble    Place bets according to your own gut feelings.
    Good luck 
  3. Like
    Toiletseat got a reaction from ValDes in How to increase your winning probability in Roulette?   
    Hi Siqohuf,
    None, and I really mean none, of the mentioned betselections and moneymanagementstrategies will work long term. Sure you will have some luck once or twice using a certain strategy, but in long term they all will fail. Regardless of what sophisticated and well thought over system you may want to play with, eventually the roulettewheel will kill it. Be carefull with progressions, allthough they can bring you some quick easy cash in  a short period of time, they allso can kill your entire bankroll within minutes. An ideal roulettesystem would be with flatbets, meaning without using progressions. Also: don't be greedy, getting in a plus is allready quiet an accomplishment.
    Concerning making betselections: You can't predict the outcome by looking at the history of spun numbers. A period of repeaters can easliy be followed by a period of sleepers. You just cannot tell wich one will come up. Having said this, take a look how some dealers spin the ball. Sometimes you'll see a dealer who clearly favours a section. This is called dealer's signature. It's one of my personal favourites. Most important: do not let the martingale strategy seduce you    ! You'll need a big amount of cash, just to win 1 unit ! It is one of the worst strategies you can play. It should be forbidden 
    So, if you really want to feel the thrills what roulette is all about, play it what it is designed for: Gamble    Place bets according to your own gut feelings.
    Good luck 
  4. Like
    Toiletseat reacted to ValDes in Casino pending times   
    Oh man, I think a whole book could be written regarding pending periods... 
     
    In a nutshell... 
     
    Why casinos apply pending periods? - To check your documentation, game log and casino activities for 'irregular play', whatever that mysterious word might means.
     
    Now, whether these pending periods are fair or not is a different matter, especially seen through the players eyes. However one main question pops out all the time. Why there is a pending period when it comes to withdrawals, but there's no such waiting time when it comes to deposits?
  5. Like
    Toiletseat got a reaction from paquito76 in Any sportsbettors/punters/tipsters here at AG ?   
    No need to be sorry Paquito. I am always very interested in a punter's ideas I am not that a passionate punter, but I am always eager to find a method to beat the odds. Talking about passion... besides I am passionate about my wife, Lucy, Awena, Coco, Kate and all the other ladies of this great forum, I am definitely a extremely passionate rouletteplayer
  6. Like
    Toiletseat got a reaction from Awena in Any sportsbettors/punters/tipsters here at AG ?   
    Hi Awena,
    Lots of bookies have countryrestrictions   Pinnacle and Betfair have good odds, as I've heard, but I am restricted from playing at them. Betfair is a specialist in betting exchange, a concept that perhaps best is compared with a stock exchange. Personally I like to recommend SBO bet, a reliable bookie with good odds  who handles payouts quickly. Unibet and Bwin are perhaps the most wellknown, are also very reliable, but offer lower odds. Big Pro for Unibet: you can see lots of matches live on Unibet TV . William Hill as Paquito allready said is also a big player with a enormous wide range of offered bets. You also might consider Come On. 
    I hope this helps   , Good Luck punting 
  7. Like
    Toiletseat reacted to paquito76 in Any sportsbettors/punters/tipsters here at AG ?   
    Sorry mate, I don't think I'm the one who could give you any advise in this subject.
     
    Value bets are simple based only mathematics and probability closing out every 'human' factor like injury, actual form, rivalry or circumstances like weather and many others and it's really far away from my betting style. It's almost a science to be successful with it long term and I'm more of a passional bettor than to make real depth analysis.
     
    Back to the sure bet system what I'm more familiar with (or at least I was in the past). That's the point of the system, there's no losses at all if your doing everything right but you're right the profits are small and that's why you have to be flexible. If you place 1000 units on a pair of bets the profit is just around 30-50  - at least it's guaranteed - but if you want to make some serious money you have to place not just one bet at a time and this is a very serious process in moneywise standpoint.
  8. Like
    Toiletseat reacted to Luciana in Any sportsbettors/punters/tipsters here at AG ?   
    And now only to find an experienced roulette player and Seat's team will be complete
  9. Like
    Toiletseat got a reaction from Luciana in Any sportsbettors/punters/tipsters here at AG ?   
    Thanks Paquito for your very detailled answer regarding the sure bets   . Me too have spend lots of time finding sure bets, and indeed some monitoring tools were very usefull, but the profits are just too small to make up the losses.
    But could you tell me something more about value bets, more specifically how to determine if a bet has value in it? 
    Personally I take a look at the head to head statistics, wich almost always results in valued odd of the strong outsider.For example: outsider has lost 9 of 10 away matches against favorite. Statistically outsider has a chance of 10% to win, and 90% to lose.  In other words, the bookies are giving higher odds to the outsider as the statistics would suggest.. This method seems to lead to nowhere. The opposite method (when there is value in an outsider, bet the favourite) is also a dead end.
  10. Like
    Toiletseat got a reaction from Luciana in Nova 21 4 day pending withdrawl   
    For 21 Nova a 4 day pending period is normal. You'll see that you'll receive your winnings, no worries about that.
  11. Like
    Toiletseat got a reaction from Awena in Nova 21 4 day pending withdrawl   
    For 21 Nova a 4 day pending period is normal. You'll see that you'll receive your winnings, no worries about that.
  12. Like
    Toiletseat got a reaction from ValDes in Nova 21 4 day pending withdrawl   
    For 21 Nova a 4 day pending period is normal. You'll see that you'll receive your winnings, no worries about that.
  13. Like
    Toiletseat reacted to ValDes in Any sportsbettors/punters/tipsters here at AG ?   
    Yey, so glad that this topic is alive again!  
     
    Seat, hope you are happy now, finally a soul-mate for ya.
  14. Like
    Toiletseat reacted to paquito76 in Any sportsbettors/punters/tipsters here at AG ?   
    Hey Toiletseat!
     
    Regarding to arbitrage system, some people could ask rightfully if it is so easy why not everyone making much profit with them? The answer is exactly simple if you don't do this for living, it simple kills all kind of excitement and enjoyment what gambling should be meant and this is the main reason why I don't do it too frequently.
     
    If someone wants to use it for just making money that's a totally different thing and as I said it requires other tools to have to be successful.
     
    Let me speak a few words about the principles at first. The most important thing is you have to have a very, very massive bankroll to start it. As seen in my or any other examples the profits are not too high per bets so you have to have liquidity all time. Also must have several (verified) accounts at different bookies and have e-wallett accounts to be able to react as fast as you can and be mobile.
     
    There are other some tips and rules which I think we must focus on. First and foremost you set up a plan and stick to it at any cost...always make decision with cool head...Always check double, triple times that everything is OK before placing bets...Always play this method at bookmakers where your accounts are in the same currency...Always know the rules and TOS of the bookies because for example if a player gives up a tennis match some bookies invalidate the bet while some others automatically consider as winner the player who advances to the next round...Prefer the Asian handicap, 2-way odds as it makes much easier to manage the betting process...and never play in any live events because as you said the constant odds changing makes really impossible to be success with them.
     
    I could tell you many more about these things but you already well know them and don't want to waste your time.
     
    To find great possibilities is a challenging thing at times and some say it could be find manually but I think it's better if you look for some tips at some special web sites (I suppose I'm not allowed to mention specific sites due to advertising) but there are three or four portals which are really usable and the odds are up to date. There are also professional programs which find odds for you but they're very expensive and I guess just the experienced and high-stake bettors use them.
     
    Personally, if I make any sure bets I like to select events that will be played hours, days later and I believe this reduces to the minimum the risk of odds changing while placing bets just like the possibility (if the bookie offers this) of the 'Accept only higher odds while placing bets' option. So if I find any interesting odds pairing I open up two browser windows next to each other and separately log in, find odds, be sure the odds changing options properly selected and thicked and when everything is fine I place bets right after the other.
     
    I hope you'll find some helpful things among the above mentioned and wish you good luck for arbitrage betting in the future.
  15. Like
    Toiletseat got a reaction from Awena in Any sportsbettors/punters/tipsters here at AG ?   
    Hi Paquito,
    An excellent example you showed concerning arbitrage betting. Fortunatelly, in this case there was a 16 minutes timeframe. It happened to me more than once that while a was placing an arbitrage (consisting of 3 bets) , the odds changed so the arbitrage turned useless. The bet I allready placed I lost.  And that is exactly the problem. When there is for example an average profit of 5% per arbitrage bet, I need 20 of those bets to make up for the loss I made with one arbitrage that could not be finished placing in time. 
    You seem to me like an experienced punter.    I am struggling with how to determine if a bet has value in it. I mostly use statistics head to head, but I seem to lose more than I win. Can you give me some advise, or share your thoughts on this subject?
    Thanks in advance !! 
  16. Like
    Toiletseat reacted to paquito76 in Any sportsbettors/punters/tipsters here at AG ?   
    After a quick search, there's an example.
    NHL, WSH-NYI starts tomorrow at 01:00, 2 period 1.5 goals Over/Under
    You have odds of 2.10 and 2.12. Profit more than 5%.

    Just look how long they will be available to bet on!

    Edit: 10:51 Betsafe has now lowered its odds to 1.86 so you would have been
            16 mins to place bets.

    Betsafe:


    Betgun:

  17. Like
    Toiletseat got a reaction from MacdoniS in Any sportsbettors/punters/tipsters here at AG ?   
    Dear AG Members,
    Since about 2 months I've started playing the sportsbooks, so yould could say I am a rookie.   I was wondering if any of you also is placing bets on sportsevents, and I was hoping if you could give me some advice of how to play. For example: Do you need to study the past results, do you preferable pick out the lower odds instead of the high odds, are value bets really so important etc etc?   Please, don't hesitate  and feel free to comment on my questions.
    Thanks, & best regards,
    Seat 
  18. Like
    Toiletseat reacted to paquito76 in Any sportsbettors/punters/tipsters here at AG ?   
    I don't think it would be so hard if you set up some rules like bank management, don't bet on unfamiliar sports events, don't try to win back instantly your previous losses and some others.
     
    Anyway, there's a system called 'Sure bet or Arbitrage' where you simple can't lose regardless of the outcome of events and sports betting also can be used very effectively to take advantage of any kind of deposit bonuses at bookies and of course it also doesn't hurt if you find some pleasure and excitement in betting.
  19. Like
    Toiletseat got a reaction from Awena in PROOF: Fun Play Is Not The Same As Real Play!   
    ValDes,  , with your answer you've proven another thing. You really are a guru, an expert, AG's living Wikipedia. If there was a Gambling University, you would be the professor.
  20. Like
    Toiletseat reacted to Raptordinos in RV park   
    Counting cards gives you an edge close to 1.5% if you make the "true count", I guess you know what is that. Less the number of decks, more edge for you. Hi-low seems to be the easier and popular method, and if you practice at least 80 hours, counting will mean a minor effort to you do it on land based casinos. I play online so I stopped my idea of counting learning because online live dealer BJ casinos are currently using 8 decks with a penetration no greater than 50%, so such thing has no sense for online players like me.
     
    Good luck!
  21. Like
    Toiletseat reacted to Luciana in Why casinos let you register, although your country is restricted?   
    Buenos noches darlings
     
     
    I am sure that many of you expired full registration and then, suddenly and immediately your fresh account has been locked, because your country/IP is restricted.
    It happened to me twice, last time about week ago, but I cannot remember in which casino. I fulfilled all the fields, successfully registered and after a second, automatically, my account was locked and there was a pop-up message about it. I asked support why's that, they apologised and explained and I received an email with the message about Serbia is being restricted, meanwhile 
     
    So, what is the point? They need your email and details, so they can send you some offers or have bigger database? You cannot play anyway.
    Isn't it easier just not to offer Serbia in the list where you need to find and choose your country..or simply to warn you not to bother creating your account, because you are not allowed..like some casinos actually do?? 
  22. Like
    Toiletseat reacted to Luciana in Your favorite LIVE dealer Platform/Casino/Game   
    Woohoo, let's have one mass registration for $5 free in Topless
  23. Like
    Toiletseat reacted to Raptordinos in Your favorite LIVE dealer Platform/Casino/Game   
    @ Awena, Done. Website and games load fast. I won my first bet on Baccarat and my first bet on BlackJack. It is hard to find a live blackjack table with a minimum of $1. At the current time it seems I was playing alone there, but it is different, and play seems fair so far. Roulette minimum stake is $10 for docens and even stakes, high to play with $5 hehe.
     
    There is a 100% deposit bonus, until $25, with x35 wagering requirements and all games contribute 10% (except high coverage roulette bets), what I think is a great deal compared with another casinos.
     
    I liked it, the hard thing is my blood running like a horse while playing, but it can be controled (some day hehe) 
  24. Like
    Toiletseat reacted to Awena in Your favorite LIVE dealer Platform/Casino/Game   
    @ Raptordinos I visited Topless Casino and I wanted to take closer look and the moment I registered my account 5 dollars was instantly added to my balance. It is funny,actually I played baccarat.
  25. Like
    Toiletseat reacted to Raptordinos in Your favorite LIVE dealer Platform/Casino/Game   
    This stuff is new for me , although distractions are the first things you need to avoid when playing at tables ....   What the he*l
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