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Hot and cold?


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Thank you for sharing this! 

Also, today I was playing European roulette in Rizk Casino and it had a "hot" and "cold" selection of numbers. Does the same logic apply there or what does it mean? Haven't seen this in other roulettes that I have tried so far.

 

The hot/cold numbers provided usually mean, that the numbers have been coming up a lot lately (or not at all for the cold ones). It doesn't mean that there is a higher chance of any of these numbers coming up again (or a lower chance for that matter). It simply just indicate, that some numbers have shown up more than normally expected (given the odds) lately and some haven't. If the roulette is the classic version (one zero and 36 numbers) there is a 1 in 37 chance that any given number will come up on the next spin. If a number have been hit for instance 5 times over the last 50 spins, that is more than the odds dictate that it should. Hence, the number can be deemed as being "hot" at the moment.

 

Over a large sample (let's say 1.000.000.000 spins to exaggerate) each number will come up with a 2,703% (rounded up a bit) hit rate. And yes, even with such a large sample the best number might have a 2,704% hit rate and the lowest might have a 2,702% hit rate but it will be extremely close to the "natural odds".

 

But if you look at things over only 50 or 100 spins, some numbers might hit 5 or even 10 times during this period. Way more than the odds dictate. If you talk to live casino dealers, almost all of them can tell crazy stories of a time where they witnessed the same number hitting 7 times in a row or where red came up 20 spins in a row or something like that. These "weird" anomalies are expected to happen from time to time.

 

So in the case of the hot and cold numbers, what the casino does is show, that over the last X amount of spins, some numbers have been hit way more than they should odds wise (HOT), and some haven't (COLD). This separate people into two groups: One group will assume that the hot streak continues and bet the numbers again. Some people assume that "it must be the cold numbers turn to get some love" and bet the cold numbers. You can often see this effect at live casinos (where they have a screen showing the results of the last 15-20 spins). When the same colour hits many times in a row, players will often come running over from other tables to bet either the same colour or the opposite colour.

 

However, at the end of the day, it doesn't change the odds of any given number coming up on the next spin.

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Hi again and merry christmas :)

 

I have read a lot of places in this forum about hot and cold slot machines. Things "when it's hot it pays like crazy" and "when it's cold it can suck your balance dry in minutes". 

 

I thought it was all random? And what is meant by hot? a lot of decent wins in a short period of time or several big wins?

 

Just wondering, thanks :)

 

Greetings , 

 

I've heard the different theories on this hot and cold matter totally a myth the random number generator will pay at will when it 

wants too that said RNG's cycle (fast>hot) when a lot of people are playing the same game but your still dealing with the same 

situation where every spin is random. 

 

Classic Example ok I was playing on Bet-at casino one time and apparently thunderstruck was operating at a 24.7 percent Return

to Player Percentage and I jumped on and got a big win streak going one particular set of free spins retriggering 5 times 

its completely random the only thing that matters is your perspective and what is happening with your game if its going cold 

flick it and move its all part of the game the game isn't fair but that's how it is. 

 

I hear a lot of myths every day about advantage play and so called smart wagering [holds a pin and pops the myth balloons] 

your at the mercy of the random number generator but hey I wont knock the RNG god bugger can be dam handy mate 

sometimes ...and yeah your worst enemy ...that's my take on it anyway. 

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