Toiletseat

Of course LilianInThaHouse, I love even bets games, but I love fairness even more, so let's begin.
 
1. I think it is more likely you get fairness from live dealer game than electronic game if you're playing table games, so I think live dealer games here would be the choice.
 
2. Craps game has even odds but as it exists the possibility of implanting magnets into dice (under coloured points), so I will discard this popular game as suitable choice.
 
3. The other game you asked for was "Baccarat", what seems to be the best choice for those players no in pursuit of some jackpot in a casino, and the reason of this is baccarat is one of the games whit the lower edge for the casino, the another ones would be blackjack, craps, and few others I have been not interested so far, but if we are playing online we are susceptible of being cheated, which is harder in baccarat because of the escence of the game. The house edge in baccarat is this way:
* Banker hand: 1.06%
* Player hand: 1.24%
* Tie bet: 14.36%
 
For obvious reasons you will never bet on tie.
 
At first glance baccarat seems to be a very complicated game, but it is all the contrary, basically all you must to do is bet on player or bet on bank, and if you win you will receive even money if your stake was to the player or even money minus 5% if your bet was on banker, as in this example:
 
 
BET ON BET VALUE ($) WINNING ($) TOTAL PAID ($)
PLAYER         1                     1                 1 + 1 = 2
PLAYER         3                     3                 3 + 3 = 6
BANK             1                     0.95            1 + 0.95 = 1.95
BANK             3                     2.85             3 + 2.85 = 5.85
 
 
Unnecessary to say what happens if you lose
 
Who wins? : It wins the upper hand closer to 9 , taking in mind 9 is the maximum number, results above counts only last digit (eg, if 13 , net value of hand is 3, if 10 so net is 0 and so on).
 
Every card is counted by its own value, except 10, J, Q, and K which are counted by zero, this way:
 
1= 1
3= 3 ...
10= 0
K= 0
 
Initially 2 cards are dealt to player and 2 to banker, and because of baccarat rules a third card may be automatically drawn to player and/or to banker hands. These 3th card rules are what scare new players because they are so many, but as you must not take decisions about it, this shouldn´t worry.
 
Example of a hand:
 
Player: 3 + Q + J = 3
Banker: 4 + 2= 6
- - - - BANKER WINS - - - -
 
IMPORTANT: Only choose those live dealer software providers that shuffle cards in front of you (in front of video camera, better ) , patterns will be given by luck, I prefer this instead of pre-shuffled ones.
 

 
LilianInThaHouse, or another AG Fellow, don't hesitate in contacting me if you wanna to learn to play this game.

My prediction for today is a soccermatch German Bundesliga: Hamburger SV - Freiburg. I expect Hamburg to win this match. Both team fighting relegation, Hamburg with home advantage and 2 wins in last 2 matches. Current odd 2.10. 

It wasn't an easy game but all good if the end is good! 
 
All of my respect goes to you if you dare to bet on women tennis matches! 
In the past I have had such terrible memories with women's tennis tickets so
lately I just avoid them if I could.

Thanks Johhny for explaining further. I really think (I allready did by the way) we all can learn a lot from you. I am really looking forward on your picks. 
My pick for today would be on a tennismatch. WTA Madrid Kuznetsova vs Safarova. I bet Kuznetsova to win, on current odds of 2.38 Unibet. I am sure there are better odds, but Unibet is the only bookie I have funded at the moment.

To my great joy I see a growing number a rouletteplayers, or at least more AG-ers taking a interest in roulette.
Therefore I like to share with you in my opinion one of the best moneymanagementstrategies. Let me make no mistake about it: This is not a 100% guarantee winning method, so you can and will loose,  but I've won a fair amount of money using this method, The idea behind it is to aim for the repeaters.
It can be used for at least 2 numbers, splits, lines, quads and streets. Do not use it on even chances or dozens/columns.  I'll try to explain by an example.
Bet 9 numbers, 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9  and count your number of bets !! In this case we have 9 numbers = 9 bets.
Spun nr.     
17         -9
23         -18
31         -27
35         -36
At this point the total bet count would exceed the profit gained if we get a hit. We raise our bets with 1 unit, and we start counting again, starting from 9 in this case.
17        -9 
31       -18
28       -27
2                We have a hit, we add 1 unit on nr.2 only, the other bets remain the same, and we reset the count
 
28       -9
2                2 hit again, we are in the plus
 
 
Reset always when you are in a plus, don't be greedy. How you select your numbers, splits ,streets etc... is entirely up to you. I usually try to bet on the dealer's hotzones. I hope this helps, good luck.
 
I hope I am not in breach of AG's forum rules. If so, I apologize 

Wow     , Thanks Johhny. Now this is what I call a detailed answer Thank you thank you thank you    Your tactics / point of view looks a bit like high regarded and passionate forummember Paquito. Today's form etc etc is much more important than what happened in the past and I understand that. Only problem is I could not find a way to calculate a team's actual situation into odds. I must say, you absolutely have a point about the lower league betting. I always thought bookies use a advanced softwareprogram to calculate odds but indeed: With all these lower / minor leagues now available for betting, for bookies it must be a ***** of a job to offer the right odds when you have to regard all aspects like injuries etc. . You are only a few days AG member now, but allready I love you   I'll go to work with your advice and tips, for me it is time for a new fresh approach. Thanks again 

Cheers, glad to hear that!
 
"calculate a team's actual situation into odds". Sory to say there are no shortcuts on the way doing so.
 
It`s a very complex worktask to put "accurate" probabilities on a match/event. Even more so when it comes to most teamsports with a 3 way outcome.( Home-Draw-Away).
 
But anyway the math is the same no matter how many possible outcomes a event has.
 
If you make a bet with a friend who of you will run fastest for example and you think you gonna outrun him 70 out of a 100 times=70%
your odds: 100/70=1,43
his odds: 100/30=3,33
 
Given that you have to run till one of you win and draw is not an option
 
If you have the odds but want to know the procent: 100/odds=%

But if the topscorer in some Iceland 2 division team broke his leg trying to ride his bike pissed drunk home from the pub the day before matchday, that could happen without any bookmakers even knowing it ever happend. 
 
Except from trying to beat the market all by yourself, comparing bookmakers is a pretty safe ( and much easier) way of finding decent bets. Lets say that you have for example 10 big bookmakers who have about 97% payback on a match. If 9/10 of them says that your dear Holland are gonna beat Serbia 3/4 times at home and the last one says they will only win the match 2/4 you are pretty much always"ahead" before trying to double your money at the last one. 
 
ValDes:
 
That`s questions for another day and a completley different topic

But if you want to try to beat the bookies on your own I would suggest you focus on the smaller leagues. The bigger the league the more bets will be played on it. The more money the more on guard bookmakers will have to be. For example players would really hurt a bookmaker if they kept on giving the wrong odds on the higher levels such as Premier League, La Liga etc eventhough it happends from time to time

Because of the competition more and more bookmakers have to offers odds on lower leagues. This isn`t something they want to do but to keep up in a growing demanding market operators offers players more and more betting options. This is good news for the players since the bookmakers have alot more work in front of them every week. To put it all in a very black and white texture: Even most grandmothers would know if Messi was about to lose out on the world cup final because of a injury.

Thanks for your kind welcomes boys and girls!
 

Thanks for your kind welcomes boys and girls!
 
I`m afraid my answers might come at strange times since my day rhythm is pretty shabby at best
 
Toiletseat:
 
Let`s use football as a example since I assume that`s what you are refering to.
 
It`s very hard to determine if a bet offers value or not. More often than not you need as much or more knowledge/insight about a match than the bookmakers themself deteminating this and that`s easier said than done.
Personaly if I have been paying close attention to a league I don`t check the market odds before I make up my own mind where about I think the betting odds should be. If the market differ alot from this I go further. 
 
H2H history doesn`t quite give the whole picture when it comes to football since the matches are so far between (twice a year) and teams/matchups changes alot during one season to the other. Watching most the matches in a league, paying attention to teams form, looking out for injuries and trying to picture how teams stands to each other would  be more important I`m afraid. Sadly it`s a ***** of a lot of work watching all matches in a league  and more often than not it seems like a full time job..
 
 

Congrats Kate   , may the winning streak last forever.

Wolfie

IR and I had lovely play now at Fenix Casino,took their 3rd welcome bonus of 150% match ,made deposit of 30 euros and pressed the withdraw button on 1000 euros,thank you Lady Luck,looove you

Very nice to see a professional punter/tipster here at AG. A warm welcome   . I have to say I am very excited and hope to learn something from you. 
You wrote something about sportbets of any value. My question is: how do you determine if a bet has value? Wich criteria you use? Personally I look at h2h statistics, trying to determine a team's chance to win or loose by past results, and then search the bookies if they have their odds to high. Unfortunatelly for me this doesn't work. It brings me nowhere. Got any advice for me? Thanks in advance 

Oh, I see. These observations seem to be real logical (especially the third one  ), advantegous and  considerable.
 
But seriously the second point are really convincing. I didn't know the dealer doesn't know what and where are the stakes and this fact is really working in favor of players.
 
I don't know when or where but I saw a video where the dealer did his job and could say 8 times out of 10 where the wheel will stop and what number(s) will be the winner. I think that demonstration was deterrent for me and made me more skeptical than I normally am.
 
Thanks for this helpful tutorial! 

That's great, I am glad to hear this kind of betselection works for you. Keep it up   . From my point of view there are 3 major pro's for live roulette. 
1) The possibilty to read the dealer. Some dealers are true doppelmeisters or the opposite, cold number spinners, and I am very eager to take advantage of that.
It is perhaps the biggest thrill of the roulette game, to get to know the dealer and his/her spinbehaviour.
2) The dealer cannot see what bets are placed. When you play on a table, you are one of many players, all with their own strategies and favourite numbers. This is not the case at a RNG table. When you loose at RNG it is easy to blame or accuse the software, since you play alone. You get my point? I do not really 'trust' RNG, so to speak.
3) Some female dealers are really so incredibly hot that my cold drink starts to boil.

you never know ,what might happen 

a little hint,its something to do with AG,not with Valdes 

Like i said ,no way that Valdes would post anything here from hes son yes paquito76 i do have veeerry wild fantasy ,arent we all  or should i say you ??

Bravo Seat and congrats, may Lady Luck bring you many more withdrawals in this new era or winning streak!
 
Cheers!

Hey Toilie ,how are you doing ?? I wish you luck with the new winning era   !!!

Congrats ! Fingers crossed that your new era brings you many luck and many winnings.

Hey hey, look who's back and in what thread!
 
Congrats Seat, happy to see you back on the winning road mate! Fingers crossed for you...and for those hot roulette dealers that make your cold drink boil!

Last week and today 2 withdrawels, total worth 800 euro   , offcourse all won on the live roulette tables. And darn, I was very close to lose it all, but finally luck was on my side. Please please let this be the beginning of a new era